Tonight we have a couple of decent fights. Co-main events actually. I haven't seen any of the other fighters enough to make an educated prediction, so let's get to it!
Josh Barnett vs. Brett Rogers
Barnett has lots of experience with top notch fighters. His ground game is excellent and his stand up is decent. Rogers is a banger. He hits hard and is capable of ending any fight with a single punch. He's less experienced and I think he's going to be lost if the fight goes to the ground. Rogers always has a punchers chance, but my pick is Barnett by submission in the first round.
Barnett easily defeats Rogers by submission but he did it right after the start of round two.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Allistair Overeem
This is the one to watch! These two fought before and Werdum won before by submission. That was a long time ago and Overeem has gained about 40 pounds of muscle. Werdum is excellent if it goes to the mat, that's where his best chance lies. Overeem is an outstanding striker and is quite versed on the mat as well. Stand up battle will definitely go to Overeem. His Muy Thai is great and he has a great standing guillotine.
My pick is Overeem and here's how I think it will unfold. Start off with Overeem tagging Werdum in stand up and when Werdum gets tired of that, he'll try to take him down. Overeem will sprawl and go for the guillotine choke. Werdum to drop backwards with Overeem in top position. He's big enough now to keep Werdum pinned and ground and pound him out for the win. Werdum is very crafty and could take it, but Overeem looks to be a force in the heavyweight division to me. Overeem by knockout/referee stoppage in two rounds or less.
Overeem threw Werdum to the ground a few times but would not get into his guard. Allistair played it smart and stayed away from the ground game as much as he could, out powering him with punches. Not really an impressive win because he was worn out and unwilling to commit to finish Werdum. He won but not in impressive fashion at all!
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